Commodity derivatives have achieved one of the fastest growth
rates, probably the highest among any other developmental initiatives
undertaken either in agricultural sector or in financial sector of a developing
economy like India. But certainly this achievement is not just erecting a
castle in air. Reasons are deep-rooted. Indian traders have century old
experiences in trading commodity derivatives. Permitting commodity exchanges to
set up an anonymous electronic trading platform accessible across the nation
has given all the required mileage for commodity trading to scale new heights.
Compared to the 130 years old stock market, the commodity market is in its
nascent stage. It is very much in consensus that by the advent of commodity
derivatives trading, a silent revolution is building up in the economy. Though
trading volumes in this new market is gradually catching up that in the stock
market, yet commodity exchanges are facing challenges that need to be addressed
now. There are certain set of challenges where commodity exchanges require
regulatory amendments to make this market vibrant and some other set of
challenges, where commodity exchanges have to take up the initiatives.
Amendment in FCRA Act
According to the FCRA Act (1952) definition of goods is confined to whatever is
deliverable. Due to this stringent definition, commodity exchanges are unable
to deliver two important products:
Weather derivatives, which will provide hedge on
volumetric risk to the farmers who are exposed to the vagaries of monsoon and
other climatic disturbances. Farm insurance, though seen in some pockets of the
country is still not all-pervasive and weather derivatives could fill in this
lacuna for the farmers.?
Trading on index, which will give small investors a
diversified investment option that can be easily tracked with an overall
knowledge of the commodity market. FCRA Act even does not allow trading of commodity
options. Unlike options, futures are not able to give the upside price
advantage to an investor, but act as a good tool for hedging and covering up
downward risk. This constraint is a big challenge for a derivative exchange, as
lot of investors, especially farmers, are reluctant to enter this market due to
the unavailability of options.
Amendment in Banking Regulations Act
According to the Banking Regulations Act, banks are not allowed to trade in the
commodity derivatives. But contradictorily, banks have a big role to play in
the development of the commodity market. As they have exposure to agriculture,
they would be better off in case they were able to hedge their positions. Since
banks have a strong rural reach and financial expertise, they can become aggregators
and take an aggregative position on behalf of farmers.
Issues on Warehouse Receipts
Currently, WR is not an instrument, against which banks lend comfortably. There
are number of risks associated with it. Some of them are like fraud WR, credit
risk with the warehouse owner, financial strength of the warehouse, quality of
the warehouse and of course the credibility of the goods valuation. Closely
analyzing the problem, NCDEX in particular has taken some initiatives to bring
banks closer to the farmer in the field of structured finance. Farmers can get
finance through a pledged dematerialized warehouse receipt of an accredited
warehouse of the Exchange. This instrument is pledged by borrowers against the
loan. Since they sell forward the underlying on the Exchange's platform, the
value of the collateral is fixed in a futuristic perspective, which mitigates
the default risk for the banks. This value addition can boost up agri-lending,
thereby strengthening the agricultural development process. At the same time,
it will mean a better business for the banks too which are lending around Rs
9000 cr as lending against commodities. The potential can be seen to be in the
region of at least Rs 150,000 cr. But there are certain issues which need to be
resolved. If dematerialized WRs issued by the commodity exchanges are
recognized by the Depository Act, it will give credibility to the receipt and
will provide an ease for banks to lend against WRs. At the same time, WR should
be allowed to become negotiable under the Negotiable Instrument Act.
Mutual Funds and FIIs are to be allowed to trade on commodity
exchanges
For commodity markets to pick up, retail participation is essential as this has
been the experiences of most western countries which have witnessed a boom in
such business. The commodity derivatives market is still distant for retail
investors who have neither the knowledge nor the ability to take such decisions
in the commodity space. Unlike the financial derivatives market, one can enter
the commodity derivatives market with a much lower investment, since margins
are lower in the range of 5-10% compared to around 30% in the securities
markets. But this highly leveraged market still remains out of the purview of
the retail investor due to certain institutional reasons. A break can be
achieved here in case mutual funds are allowed to participate in these markets
by structuring commodity funds for retail investors. At the same time this
financial instrument can stir up the awareness among the masses and become an
excellent asset class and hedging tool in a retail portfolio. Unlike the stock
market, commodity market has not yet gotten the exposure it deserves. This has
led general investors away from the market. Tracking commodity prices is not
just a balance sheet analysis or a company specific study. Global factors and
rather macro factors play a much important role into it. That demands domain
expertise in commodities, market dynamics and price forecasting. In this case,
commodity mutual funds, equipped with qualified analysts and fund managers will
undertake value investing and boost up the reliability for the retail
investors. There is a strong conviction among mutual funds that there is need
to move into commodities to diversify their portfolio and deliver better
returns to investors. The exchange is also pursuing with the authorities to
allow mutual funds to diversify into commodities so as to provide them with
larger options. This particular avenue is believed to bring in revolutionary
changes in the commodity market.
The presence of foreign funds in the securities market has been found to have a
high correlation with the interest as well as activity in equity segment. A
similar picture is expected to be replicated in the commodity market in case
regulation permits the entry of foreign portfolio investors into this market.
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) parking their corpus in Indian commodity
markets will certainly increase their depth and increase the liquidity in the
system. Currently, Indian economy is being tracked very closely by all foreign
investors. Indian capital market is one of the highest recipient of emerging
market funds. But unfortunately none of them are allowed to pump in funds in
commodity market. This is rather the best time to open the market and make it a
benchmark in the commodity market across the globe.
Yet the other set of challenges in front of the exchanges are creating
awareness and information dissemination. While volumes are important
for commodity exchanges, what is probably more critical is awareness. There is
need for exchanges to keep relentlessly pursuing an awareness creation
strategy. Awareness at the grassroots will be essential to materialize and
sustain the success it is foreseeing. Information dissemination still stands to
be a major challenge in front of a commodity exchange. Disseminating market
discovered prices to the farmer level calls for a mammoth structural framework
and massive investments. Over here, all options need to be explored from
IT-enabled facilities such as display boards and ticker boards to manual
information spread where such facilities are not available.